Publications

Publications

Scientific papers

D. Urueña, C. van Westen, L. Lombardo, M. van den Homberg, H. Tanyas, O. DeWitte, A. Dahal, How to better link Landslide Inventory Mapping with Loss and Damage Reporting, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2026.106242.
Wenzel, T., van Westen, C., Sunil, M. et al. Towards a practical multi-hazard interrelation classification: implications for assessing their impacts. Nat Hazards 122, 82 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07901-0
Kalkanlı, D., Kundak, S., Atun, F., & van Westen, C. J. (2026). Human-Centric Digital Twins for Spatial Sustainability: A Procedural VR Framework for Calibrating Agent-Based Evacuation Models in Diverse Urban Morphologies. Sustainability, 18(3), 1482. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031482
Kundak, S., Göksu, Ç., Arslanlı, K. Y., Aşıcı, A. A., Yılmaz, A., Kalkanlı, D., … Pak, E. Ö. (2025). Temporal and spatial seismic risk scenarios of Istanbul. Journal of Risk Research, 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2025.2522667
Ermolieva, T.; Havlik, P.; Lessa-Derci-Augustynczik, A.; Frank, S.; Balkovic, J.; Skalsky, R.; Deppermann, A.; Nakhavali, M.; Komendantova, N.; Kahil, T.; et al. Tracking the Dynamics and Uncertainties of Soil Organic Carbon in Agricultural Soils Based on a Novel Robust Meta-Model Framework Using Multisource Data. Sustainability 2024, 16, 6849. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16166849
Pantaleoni Reluy, N., Hürlimann, M., and Lantada, N.: How are public compensation efforts implemented in multi-hazard events? Insights from the 2020 Gloria storm in Catalonia, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3483–3504, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3483-2025, 2025
Ermolieva, T., Zagorodny, A., Bogdanov, V., Havlik, P. , Rovenskaya, E. , Komendantova, N. , & Knopov, P. (2025). Integrated Solutions and Distributed Models’ Linkage Procedures for Food–Energy–Water–Environmental Nexus Security Modeling and Management. In: Stochastic Modeling and Optimization Methods for Critical Infrastructure Protection: Stochastic modeling. Eds. Gaivoronski, A., Knopov, P., Norkin, V., & Zaslavskyi, V., Wiley. ISBN 978-1-836-69027-6
Ermolieva, T., Havlik, P. , Derci Augustynczik, A.L., Frank, S. , Deppermann, A., Nakhavali, A. , & Balkovič, J. (2025). Robust Statistical Estimation and Two-Stage Stochastic Optimization: Quantile Regression EPIC Meta-Model of Soil Organic Carbon for Robust Decision Making with GLOBIOM. In: Stochastic Modeling and Optimization Methods for Critical Infrastructure Protection: Stochastic modeling. Eds. Gaivoronski, A., Knopov, P., Norkin, V., Zaslavskyi, V., Skalský, R. , & Komendantova, N. , Wiley. ISBN 978-1-836-69027-6
Komendantova, N., Ermolieva, T.Y., Zobeidi, T., Armas, I., Toma-Danilra, D., Hürlimann, M. (2025). Integrated Modeling for Managing Catastrophic Risks: Vulnerability Analysis and Systemic Risks Management. In: Stochastic Modeling and Optimization Methods for Critical Infrastructure Protection, Stochastic Modeling (Eds.: Gaivoronski, A., Knopov, P.S., Norkin, V., Zaslavskyi, V.), WILEY; ISBN: 9781836690276.
Clark, N., Boersma, K., Raju, E., Opromolla, A., Orru, K., Hansson, S., Russo, R., Gargiulo, M. V., Duca, G., Capuano, P., Schweizer, P.-J., Cumiskey, L., Steinhausen, M., Matthieu Branlat, Olson, A., Andersen, N. B., Larruina, R., Funda Atun, Westen, C. van, & Tamborrino, R. (2025). Strengthening all-of-society approaches for disaster resilient societies: a European research agenda. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 105345–105345. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105345
Manzella, I., Makris, S., Casalbore, D., Cole, P., Kelfoun, K., Georgiopoulou, A., Hicks, A. and van Westen, C. (2024) “Cascading hazards in volcanic environments: monitoring, modelling and impact analysis of tsunamigenic flows for risk reduction”, Annals of Geophysics, 67(4), p. V438. doi: 10.4401/ag-9191.
Yu Han, Haifeng Jia, Changqing Xu, Marija Bockarjova, Cees van Westen, Luigi Lombardo, Unveiling spatial inequalities: Exploring county-level disaster damages and social vulnerability on public disaster assistance in contiguous US, Journal of Environmental Management, Volume 351, 2024, 119690, ISSN 0301-4797, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119690.
Han, Y., Zhai, W., Mozumder, P., Van Westen, C., & Chen, C. (2024). Modeling evacuation activities amid compound hazards: Insights from hurricane Irma in Southeast Florida. Travel Behaviour and Society, 38, 100933. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2024.10093
Komendantova, N.; Hassani, H.; Yeganegi, M.R.; Al Salaymeh, A.; Qoaider, L. Navigating the Currents: Land Use Challenges Amidst Water and Food Security Debates and Social Media Misperceptions. Land 2024, 13, 1525. https://doi.org/10.3390/land13091525
Albulescu, A.-C. and Armaș, I.: An impact-chain-based exploration of multi-hazard vulnerability dynamics: the multi-hazard of floods and the COVID-19 pandemic in Romania, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2895–2922, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2895-2024, 2024.
Dullaart, J.C.M., de Vries, H., Bloemendaal, N. et al. Improving our understanding of future tropical cyclone intensities in the Caribbean using a high-resolution regional climate model. Sci Rep 14, 6108 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-49685-y
Brotons, M., Haarsma, R., Bloemendaal, N. et al. Drivers of Caribbean precipitation change due to global warming: analyses and emergent constraint of CMIP6 simulations. Clim Dyn (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07072-3
Goksu, C., Kundak, S., Arslanlı, K. Y., Aşıcı, A. A., Kalkanlı, D., & Yılmaz, A. (2023). A comparative impact chain analysis of 1999 Kocaeli and 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes. Journal of Design for Resilience in Architecture and Planning, 4 (Special Issue), 51–64. https://doi.org/10.47818/DRArch.2023.v4si109

Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology

van Westen, C. et al. (2024). Development of a Platform for the Generation, Visualisation and Quantification of Disaster Impact Chains. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_39
Atun, F., Sliuzas, R., Romagnoli, F., Armas, I., Mocanu, R., Kundak, S. (2024). Forensic Analysis of Historical Disasters to Develop Quantifiable Multi-hazard Impact Chains Models. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_40
Hürlimann, M. et al. (2024). Systemic Multi-sectoral and Multi-hazard Risk Assessment in Current and Future Scenarios. The PARATUS-Project. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_37
Cocuccioni, S. et al. (2024). The Use of Impact Chains to Describe Complex Cause-Effect Relationships Within a Systemic Multi-sectoral and Multi-hazard Risk Assessment. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_38
Kruiver, P.P. et al. (2024). Multi-hazard Dashboard for Caribbean Islands—First Design. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_33
Goksu, C., Kundak, S., Arslanli, K.Y., Asici, A.A. (2024). Preliminary Evaluation of Impact Chain and Systemic Effects of February 2023 Türkiye Earthquakes. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_31
Arslanlı, K.Y., Goksu, C., Kundak, S., Asici, A.A. (2024). An Analysis of Housing Affordability in Turkish Real Estate Market After 2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquakes. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_35
Wenzel, T. et al. (2024). Local Natural Hazards, Cascading to Cross-Regional Risks and Impacts Along the Main Transit Route from North and South in the Austrian Alps. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_32
Osaci-Costache, G., Toma-Danila, D., Armas, I. (2024). Using Impact Chain Analysis for Seismic Risk Reduction in Bucharest, Romania. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_34
Kundak, S., Goksu, C., Arslanli, K.Y., Asici, A.A., Kalkanlı, D. (2024). Spatial and Temporal Impact Chain Analysis on Seismic Risks of Istanbul. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_36