Publications

Publications

Scientific papers

Wenzel, T., van Westen, C., Sunil, M. et al. Towards a practical multi-hazard interrelation classification: implications for assessing their impacts. Nat Hazards 122, 82 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07901-0
Kalkanlı, D., Kundak, S., Atun, F., & van Westen, C. J. (2026). Human-Centric Digital Twins for Spatial Sustainability: A Procedural VR Framework for Calibrating Agent-Based Evacuation Models in Diverse Urban Morphologies. Sustainability, 18(3), 1482. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031482
Kundak, S., Göksu, Ç., Arslanlı, K. Y., Aşıcı, A. A., Yılmaz, A., Kalkanlı, D., … Pak, E. Ö. (2025). Temporal and spatial seismic risk scenarios of Istanbul. Journal of Risk Research, 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2025.2522667
Ermolieva, T.; Havlik, P.; Lessa-Derci-Augustynczik, A.; Frank, S.; Balkovic, J.; Skalsky, R.; Deppermann, A.; Nakhavali, M.; Komendantova, N.; Kahil, T.; et al. Tracking the Dynamics and Uncertainties of Soil Organic Carbon in Agricultural Soils Based on a Novel Robust Meta-Model Framework Using Multisource Data. Sustainability 2024, 16, 6849. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16166849
Pantaleoni Reluy, N., Hürlimann, M., and Lantada, N.: How are public compensation efforts implemented in multi-hazard events? Insights from the 2020 Gloria storm in Catalonia, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3483–3504, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3483-2025, 2025
Ermolieva, T., Zagorodny, A., Bogdanov, V., Havlik, P. , Rovenskaya, E. , Komendantova, N. , & Knopov, P. (2025). Integrated Solutions and Distributed Models’ Linkage Procedures for Food–Energy–Water–Environmental Nexus Security Modeling and Management. In: Stochastic Modeling and Optimization Methods for Critical Infrastructure Protection: Stochastic modeling. Eds. Gaivoronski, A., Knopov, P., Norkin, V., & Zaslavskyi, V., Wiley. ISBN 978-1-836-69027-6
Ermolieva, T., Havlik, P. , Derci Augustynczik, A.L., Frank, S. , Deppermann, A., Nakhavali, A. , & Balkovič, J. (2025). Robust Statistical Estimation and Two-Stage Stochastic Optimization: Quantile Regression EPIC Meta-Model of Soil Organic Carbon for Robust Decision Making with GLOBIOM. In: Stochastic Modeling and Optimization Methods for Critical Infrastructure Protection: Stochastic modeling. Eds. Gaivoronski, A., Knopov, P., Norkin, V., Zaslavskyi, V., Skalský, R. , & Komendantova, N. , Wiley. ISBN 978-1-836-69027-6
Komendantova, N., Ermolieva, T.Y., Zobeidi, T., Armas, I., Toma-Danilra, D., Hürlimann, M. (2025). Integrated Modeling for Managing Catastrophic Risks: Vulnerability Analysis and Systemic Risks Management. In: Stochastic Modeling and Optimization Methods for Critical Infrastructure Protection, Stochastic Modeling (Eds.: Gaivoronski, A., Knopov, P.S., Norkin, V., Zaslavskyi, V.), WILEY; ISBN: 9781836690276.
Clark, N., Boersma, K., Raju, E., Opromolla, A., Orru, K., Hansson, S., Russo, R., Gargiulo, M. V., Duca, G., Capuano, P., Schweizer, P.-J., Cumiskey, L., Steinhausen, M., Matthieu Branlat, Olson, A., Andersen, N. B., Larruina, R., Funda Atun, Westen, C. van, & Tamborrino, R. (2025). Strengthening all-of-society approaches for disaster resilient societies: a European research agenda. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 105345–105345. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105345
Manzella, I., Makris, S., Casalbore, D., Cole, P., Kelfoun, K., Georgiopoulou, A., Hicks, A. and van Westen, C. (2024) “Cascading hazards in volcanic environments: monitoring, modelling and impact analysis of tsunamigenic flows for risk reduction”, Annals of Geophysics, 67(4), p. V438. doi: 10.4401/ag-9191.
Yu Han, Haifeng Jia, Changqing Xu, Marija Bockarjova, Cees van Westen, Luigi Lombardo, Unveiling spatial inequalities: Exploring county-level disaster damages and social vulnerability on public disaster assistance in contiguous US, Journal of Environmental Management, Volume 351, 2024, 119690, ISSN 0301-4797, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119690.
Han, Y., Zhai, W., Mozumder, P., Van Westen, C., & Chen, C. (2024). Modeling evacuation activities amid compound hazards: Insights from hurricane Irma in Southeast Florida. Travel Behaviour and Society, 38, 100933. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2024.10093
Komendantova, N.; Hassani, H.; Yeganegi, M.R.; Al Salaymeh, A.; Qoaider, L. Navigating the Currents: Land Use Challenges Amidst Water and Food Security Debates and Social Media Misperceptions. Land 2024, 13, 1525. https://doi.org/10.3390/land13091525
Albulescu, A.-C. and Armaș, I.: An impact-chain-based exploration of multi-hazard vulnerability dynamics: the multi-hazard of floods and the COVID-19 pandemic in Romania, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2895–2922, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2895-2024, 2024.
Dullaart, J.C.M., de Vries, H., Bloemendaal, N. et al. Improving our understanding of future tropical cyclone intensities in the Caribbean using a high-resolution regional climate model. Sci Rep 14, 6108 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-49685-y
Brotons, M., Haarsma, R., Bloemendaal, N. et al. Drivers of Caribbean precipitation change due to global warming: analyses and emergent constraint of CMIP6 simulations. Clim Dyn (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07072-3
Goksu, C., Kundak, S., Arslanlı, K. Y., Aşıcı, A. A., Kalkanlı, D., & Yılmaz, A. (2023). A comparative impact chain analysis of 1999 Kocaeli and 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes. Journal of Design for Resilience in Architecture and Planning, 4 (Special Issue), 51–64. https://doi.org/10.47818/DRArch.2023.v4si109

Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology

van Westen, C. et al. (2024). Development of a Platform for the Generation, Visualisation and Quantification of Disaster Impact Chains. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_39
Atun, F., Sliuzas, R., Romagnoli, F., Armas, I., Mocanu, R., Kundak, S. (2024). Forensic Analysis of Historical Disasters to Develop Quantifiable Multi-hazard Impact Chains Models. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_40
Hürlimann, M. et al. (2024). Systemic Multi-sectoral and Multi-hazard Risk Assessment in Current and Future Scenarios. The PARATUS-Project. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_37
Cocuccioni, S. et al. (2024). The Use of Impact Chains to Describe Complex Cause-Effect Relationships Within a Systemic Multi-sectoral and Multi-hazard Risk Assessment. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_38
Kruiver, P.P. et al. (2024). Multi-hazard Dashboard for Caribbean Islands—First Design. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_33
Goksu, C., Kundak, S., Arslanli, K.Y., Asici, A.A. (2024). Preliminary Evaluation of Impact Chain and Systemic Effects of February 2023 Türkiye Earthquakes. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_31
Arslanlı, K.Y., Goksu, C., Kundak, S., Asici, A.A. (2024). An Analysis of Housing Affordability in Turkish Real Estate Market After 2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquakes. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_35
Wenzel, T. et al. (2024). Local Natural Hazards, Cascading to Cross-Regional Risks and Impacts Along the Main Transit Route from North and South in the Austrian Alps. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_32
Osaci-Costache, G., Toma-Danila, D., Armas, I. (2024). Using Impact Chain Analysis for Seismic Risk Reduction in Bucharest, Romania. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_34
Kundak, S., Goksu, C., Arslanli, K.Y., Asici, A.A., Kalkanlı, D. (2024). Spatial and Temporal Impact Chain Analysis on Seismic Risks of Istanbul. In: Erberik, M.A., Askan, A., Kockar, M.K. (eds) Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology. ICEES 2023. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 401. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_36